Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA)
The Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) method models the next step in the sequence as a linear function of the differenced observations and residual errors at prior time steps. It combines both Autoregression () and Moving Average () models as well as a differencing pre-processing step of the sequence to make the sequence stationary, called integration (). The notation for the model involves specifying the order for the , , and models as parameters to an ARIMA function, e.g., ARIMA(p, d, q). An model can also be used to develop , , and models. The method is suitable for univariate time series with trend and without seasonal components. Below is an example of ARIMA code implementation
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Data Science